367
we may add to their number when we come to
marshall our reasons.
Yourvn
Blackandos
1.
The Canton boycott must end sooner or later and trade
will then tend to return to its natural channels. Hong Kong
will, in our opinion, re-establish complete control of the
ocean transhipment trade and will recover at any rate the
greater part of the coasting and river traffic.
2.
Developments at Whampoa and Canton are feasible but
will be costly. There is little likelihood of accommodation
being provided for ocean-going ships of deep draught. Improved accommodation may be provided for coasting vessels,
but the cost and the methods of Chinese administration will
almost inevitably make Canton a dear port.
3.
The general growth of trade is, in any case, likely to compensate Hong Kong for any traffic transferred to Canton.
4. A policy of gradual development of the harbour of Hong Kong is advisable since inefficiency at that port would
stimulate ventures at Canton.
5. We have come to the conclusion that the best situation for developments in Hong Kong Harbour is Hung-hom Bay. North Point is more suited for subsidiary development of an
industrial nature. Any development at West Point should only be of a provisional character to cope with immediate require-
ments.
6. A great increase of traffic at the Kowloon railway terminus, though anticipated by some whenever a connection is made at Canton between the Kowloon-Canton and Canton-Hankow
Railways, is, in our view, so problematic that we do not think it should be regarded as a determining factor when considering the location of development in the harbour. We have come to Our conclusion in favour of Hung-hom Bay notwithstanding this view.
122) W
17.
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